Reserve Bank of India published this on 7 October 2026. The official summary reads:
Good morning and Namaskar. My greetings to all and best wishes for the forthcoming festive season. 2. The sudden reescalation of the West Asia conflict in September and the consequent hardening and volatility in global crude prices soured global economic sentiments and heightened financial market volatility. Although global growth remains resilient, it is projected to decelerate in 2026 from the previous year. Driven by escalating energy costs and rising food prices, global inflation is projected to increase sharply prompting monetary policy tightening by major central banks. Lingering trade uncertainty, rising bond yields in advanced economies and an appreciating dollar are keeping global financial market sentiments nervous and fragile. Further tightening of global financial conditions, uncertainty about fair valuation of AI stocks, and an elusive resolution of the West Asia conflict…
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